Nike, Inc.
Is there value inside this enterprise that the company is not currently capturing?
Filings through May 31, 2026 · Market data as of Sep 16, 2026
WE MODEL THE ENTERPRISE.™
01Executive summary
Nike, Inc. enters the engine with $46.4B of trailing revenue, $5.0B of GAAP-derived EBITDA and a $53.4B enterprise value. Token Clear detected 4 value pathways from the company's own filings, led by Margin Recovery Program, Treasury Optimization and Programmable Payments & Settlement. Counted pathways model $432.1M–$1.1B of recurring annual economics, or $4.6B–$11.9B at today's multiple (8.7%–22.3% of current enterprise value) — against a 1% Thesis of $533.7M.
- Revenue grew 0.2% in the latest fiscal year.
02Current enterprise state
| Fact | Value | Class | Period | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue (TTM) | $46.4B | REPORTED | May 31, 2026 | 10-K · filed 2026-07-15 |
| Revenue growth (latest FY) | 0.2% | CALCULATED | May 31, 2026 | FY 2026-05-31 revenue ÷ FY 2025-05-31 revenue − 1 |
| EBITDA (TTM, pre-tax proxy) | $5.0B | CALCULATED | May 31, 2026 | Pre-tax income + interest expense + D&A |
| EBITDA margin (TTM) | 10.7% | CALCULATED | May 31, 2026 | EBITDA ÷ revenue |
| EBITDA margin FY2025 | — | DATA REQUIRED | May 31, 2025 | (Operating income + D&A) ÷ revenue, prior fiscal year |
| Net income (TTM) | $3.1B | REPORTED | May 31, 2026 | 10-K · filed 2026-07-15 |
| Operating cash flow (TTM) | $2.9B | REPORTED | May 31, 2026 | 10-K · filed 2026-07-15 |
| Capital expenditures (TTM) | $684.0M | REPORTED | May 31, 2026 | 10-K · filed 2026-07-15 |
| Free cash flow (TTM) | $2.2B | CALCULATED | May 31, 2026 | Operating cash flow − capex |
| Cash & short-term investments | $7.6B | REPORTED | May 31, 2026 | 10-K · filed 2026-07-15 |
| Total debt | $7.9B | REPORTED | May 31, 2026 | 10-K · filed 2026-07-15 |
| Shareholders' equity | $14.9B | REPORTED | May 31, 2026 | 10-K · filed 2026-07-15 |
| Shares outstanding | 1.48B | CALCULATED | May 31, 2026 | 10-K · filed 2026-07-15 |
| Share price | $35.78 | REPORTED | Sep 16, 2026 | Yahoo Finance · NYSE |
| Market capitalization | $53.0B | CALCULATED | Sep 16, 2026 | Share price × shares outstanding |
| Enterprise value | $53.4B | CALCULATED | Sep 16, 2026 | Market cap + total debt − cash & short-term investments |
| EV / EBITDA | 10.7× | CALCULATED | Sep 16, 2026 | Enterprise value ÷ EBITDA (TTM) |
03Evidence quality
04Value pathways
Ranked by deterministic Token Clear score. Each pathway lists the evidence that triggered it, the assumptions that size it, and what stands in its way.
EBITDA margin of 10.7% trails the live peer median of 18.4%. Closing part of the 3.0% gap on $46.4B of revenue is a direct EBITDA lever.
Nike, Inc. holds $7.6B of cash and short-term investments against an operating reserve of $4.6B (10% of TTM revenue). A tiered treasury policy on the $2.9B above reserve can raise yield without reducing liquidity coverage.
Programmable payments and settlement on $46.4B of revenue can reduce payment cost and open new settlement revenue.
Net leverage is 0.1× EBITDA. Excess cash plus debt capacity to 2.5× EBITDA gives about $7.4B of acquisition capacity — 13.9% of enterprise value. Only synergies are counted; acquired EBITDA bought at a fair price is not value creation.
05Financial scenarios
| Scenario | Pathway EBITDA | Modeled EBITDA | EV at today's 10.7× | vs. today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today (reported) | $0.00 | $5.0B | $53.4B | -0.0% |
| Conservative | $432.1M | $5.4B | $58.0B | 8.7% |
| Base | $771.5M | $5.7B | $61.7B | 15.5% |
| Strategic | $1.1B | $6.1B | $65.3B | 22.3% |
Scenario columns apply the low, midpoint and high end of every counted pathway range. The peer column isolates a market re-rating and is shown for sensitivity only.
06Multiple Intelligence™
| Driver | Nike, Inc. | Peer median | Read |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | 0.2% | -0.1% | in line |
| EBITDA margin | 10.7% | 18.4% | behind |
| FCF conversion | 43.9% | 95.8% | behind |
| Return on invested capital | — | 7.2% | data required |
| Net leverage | 0.1× | -1.8× | behind |
| Capex intensity | 1.5% | 3.1% | in line |
| Stock comp / revenue | 1.5% | 0.8% | behind |
Peer set (0 valid of 2): LULU (excluded: Multiple not computable) · GME 20.4×.
07The 1% Thesis™ — validated bottom-up
08Recommended sequence & 90-day proof of value
- • Treasury Optimization
- • Programmable Payments & Settlement
- • Margin Recovery Program
- • Accretive M&A Capacity
| Days 1–15 | Validate | Confirm reported facts, peer set and every ASSUMPTION with Nike, Inc. finance leadership; close DATA REQUIRED gaps from primary filings. |
| Days 16–45 | Design | Detailed design for NOW pathways: Treasury Optimization, Programmable Payments & Settlement. Counsel review of regulatory blockers. |
| Days 46–75 | Approve & activate | Human approval gate per pathway; activate approved pathways with defined owners and baselines. |
| Days 76–90 | Measure | Baseline vs. target vs. actual on the first measurable metrics; decide on NEXT pathways and a platform engagement. |
09Risks & dependencies
- Money-transmission, stablecoin and banking-partner requirements vary by jurisdiction.
10Methodology & disclosures
Evidence classes. REPORTED taken from SEC XBRL filings or delayed market data · CALCULATED deterministic derivation with formula · BENCHMARK live peer comparable · ASSUMPTION explicit, challengeable input · SCENARIO output of stated assumptions.
Calculations. Trailing-twelve-month figures are fiscal year + current year-to-date − prior year-to-date. EBITDA is operating income plus depreciation and amortization (GAAP-derived, excluding non-GAAP adjustments). Enterprise value is market capitalization plus total debt less cash and short-term investments, excluding leases, minority interest and preferred equity. Non-USD filers are converted at spot. Recurring pathway economics are valued at today's multiple; overlapping pathways are counted once and contingent pathways are excluded.
Governance. AI does not perform or override valuation arithmetic. Scoring configuration is confidential and server-side. No pathway proceeds without human approval.
Disclosure. This study provides enterprise-value intelligence, scenario modeling and strategic analysis. Illustrative scenarios are not forecasts, guarantees, investment recommendations or assurances of market valuation. Market prices and valuation multiples are determined by investors and market conditions. Certain strategies require legal, tax, accounting, regulatory and other professional review before implementation.